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19.07.2024 09:00 AM
2024年7月19日歐元/美元熱點預測

歐洲中央銀行被普遍預期會保持利率不變。令人驚訝的是,該銀行對歐元區經濟的極為悲觀評估。這表明不僅僅是進一步的貨幣政策寬鬆,甚至可能會有更為激進的降息。此外,ECB總裁Christine Lagarde表示,下一次利率會議 "完全開放",暗示了再一次降息的可能性。因此,歐元在這些言論下積極下跌也就不足為奇了。不過,這可能只是暫時的。市場早已預期ECB的降息。現在的主要關注點是即將到來的聯邦儲備局降息。因此,一旦媒體開始更加積極地討論這個話題,歐元可能會再次上升。完全有可能在短短幾天內,市場將恢復到昨天開盤時的水平。

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在心理價位1.0950/1.1000的下限區間內,歐元/美元的多頭倉位量有所減少。結果,價格回調,跌破了1.0900的關口。

在價格回調過程中,4小時圖上的相對強弱指數(RSI)跌破了50的平均水平,這表明歐元的空頭倉位量增加。

在相同的時間框架內,鱷魚指標的三條移動均線中有兩條交纏在一起,顯示上升週期減速。然而,這些只是減速的初步跡象,並不改變整體趨勢。

展望

若價格在本週結束前定於1.0900以下,該貨幣對可能進入修正階段。

否則,歐元的局部疲弱可能利好多頭,導致新一輪的增長。

綜合指標分析顯示,在短期和日內時間框架內有進行修正的動作。

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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