empty
24.04.2019 01:43 AM
The US following China may surprise markets with unexpectedly high GDP growth in the first quarter

This image is no longer relevant

The latest temporary government shutdown, trade conflicts and a slowdown in global growth — against this background, the prospects for the first quarter for the US economy did not look promising. However, GDP data for the first three months of 2019 may surprise. After the Chinese economy unexpectedly grew during this period, it is expected that the United States will see a growth of 2.1 percent, although previously the range of analysts' estimates began from 1 percent. In the forecasts of the Atlanta Fed, the range is even more optimistic, between 2.2 and 3.4 percent. If recently most experts spoke about the weakness of the US economy, now they are expecting strong growth in the first quarter. In addition, companies have increased investment, in March, retail sales in the country grew at the fastest rate in 1.5 years - all opposed to the version of the beginning of a recession.

The unexpected reduction in the US trade deficit in February is also evidence of higher growth rates, and only weak production volumes — recall the recent first quarterly decline in industrial output after the election of Donald Trump — can explain such a wide range of estimates.

Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

US Market News Digest for May 6, 2025

The US stock market opened the week in turmoil. Berkshire Hathaway shares were trading under pressure after Warren Buffett had Stepped down as CEO. Investors are concerned about the company's

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:52 2025-05-06 UTC+2

$9 Billion for Skechers, falling indices, and surge in Asian stocks

Berkshire Hathaway slips after Warren Buffett steps down as CEO. The US services sector shows growth in April. Skechers surges following a $9 billion privatization deal. Investors await trade agreements

13:26 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Skechers' $9B, Indexes Sink, Asia Surges: A Day of Change

Berkshire Hathaway Slips After Buffett Steps Down as CEO U.S. Services Sector Rising in April Skechers Jumps After $9B Privatization Deal Investors Await U.S.-Partner Trade Deals Asian Currencies in Focus

Thomas Frank 07:41 2025-05-06 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for March 17

US stock indexes, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, ended the week confidently in positive territory. This was largely due to encouraging developments in trade talks with China and resilient

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:32 2025-05-05 UTC+2

Europe on pause: What's behind the stock market plunge and Trump's unexpected activity

European stocks fell slightly; STOXX 600 - minus 0.1%, France - minus 0.3% Investors await data on US-China talks, earnings and Fed decision Trump: 100% tariffs on foreign films, Alcatraz

Thomas Frank 11:34 2025-05-05 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 2

US equity indices continue to climb despite lingering economic uncertainty. Investor optimism is being driven by expectations of progress in trade talks between the US and China. Nevertheless, ongoing economic

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:14 2025-05-02 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 1

The US stock market weathered notable volatility in April, but a successful rally helped major indices recoup losses. Despite data showing a 0.3% contraction in US GDP for the first

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:54 2025-05-01 UTC+2

Feast in the Storm: S&P 500 Celebrates Gains as Dollar Drowns and China Weakens

S&P 500 Posts Sixth Straight Day of Gains Oil Falls More Than 1% China Manufacturing Activity Plummets as Trump Tariffs Continue to Squeeze Dollar Set for Worst Month

Thomas Frank 12:09 2025-04-30 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for April 30

US stock indices remain on a positive trajectory, but market pressure has intensified due to a sharp drop in Super Micro shares and the upcoming earnings reports from tech heavyweights

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:13 2025-04-30 UTC+2

Stock markets regaining optimism. Where to find new entry points

European stocks rose amid hopes of easing trade tensions between the US and China. WTI oil fell by 1.54% to $62.05, while Brent declined by 1.51% to $65.86

12:42 2025-04-29 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.