empty
12.09.2019 03:26 PM
Different scenarios for EUR/USD pair following an important ECB meeting

The EUR/USD will not budge ahead of the ECB meeting. Markets expect a 10 bp cut in rates and restarting the quantitative easing program. The pair is trading in a tapering triangle, or wedge. Technical analysis suggests that high volatility will replace a narrow trading range when the pair determines its direction. Where will she go? Most indicators indicate a decline. Support is expected at 1.0985, followed by 1.0960 and then 1.0926. If we talk about growth, then the resistance is expected at 1.1055, then 1.1090 and 1.1115. On the whole, there is tension in the market, everyone is waiting for the speech of the head of the ECB, Mario Draghi, who will introduce new measures to combat the slowdown in economic growth and inflation.

This image is no longer relevant

According to one version, the ECB intends to reduce interest rates by at least 10 bp, and, most likely, this will confirm obligations to maintain low-interest rates. In this case, EUR/USD may jump. The ECB hawks speak in favor of this scenario, and if they win, then the EUR/USD bulls will also win. On the other hand, the Board of Governors may reduce rates by 20 bp, as well as resume the bond purchase program with a budget of 30-50 billion euros. This will cause the pair to fall. The ECB must act in response to worsening economic conditions. Inflation remains low, with the underlying CPI dropping below 1%. Germany's economy contracted in the second quarter, and third quarter indicators point to another recession, which is a clear recession. Eurozone suffers due to weak demand from China and trade wars. Nevertheless, the most recent events have been positive. The US President Donald Trump postponed the introduction of new tariffs and China allowed companies to buy American agricultural products. These goodwill gestures precede high-level negotiations and help ease market tensions.

This image is no longer relevant

Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

US Market News Digest for May 8, 2025. US stock indices close higher on trade deal optimism

Major US stock indices ended the session in the green, supported by statements from Donald Trump indicating progress in negotiations over a major trade agreement. The market interpreted this rhetoric

Ekaterina Kiseleva 14:00 2025-05-08 UTC+2

Gold slips, stocks sink: what India, Germany and the Fed have in common

Equities are falling on stalled tariff agreements ahead of the Fed decision. Gold is sliding on renewed US-China talks. UK and India have clinched a major trade pact. Friedrich Merz

12:36 2025-05-07 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 7

The major US stock indices closed in negative territory, with the S&P 500 down 0.8% amid growing uncertainty about trade policy and anticipation of new comments from the Federal Reserve

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:20 2025-05-07 UTC+2

Gold falls, stocks plunge: What India, Germany and the Fed have in common

Stocks fall on lack of tariff deals ahead of Fed policy decision Gold falls on hopes for US-China trade talks; UK, India reach trade deal after 3-year talks Germany's Merz

Thomas Frank 07:05 2025-05-07 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 6, 2025

The US stock market opened the week in turmoil. Berkshire Hathaway shares were trading under pressure after Warren Buffett had Stepped down as CEO. Investors are concerned about the company's

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:52 2025-05-06 UTC+2

$9 Billion for Skechers, falling indices, and surge in Asian stocks

Berkshire Hathaway slips after Warren Buffett steps down as CEO. The US services sector shows growth in April. Skechers surges following a $9 billion privatization deal. Investors await trade agreements

13:26 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Skechers' $9B, Indexes Sink, Asia Surges: A Day of Change

Berkshire Hathaway Slips After Buffett Steps Down as CEO U.S. Services Sector Rising in April Skechers Jumps After $9B Privatization Deal Investors Await U.S.-Partner Trade Deals Asian Currencies in Focus

Thomas Frank 07:41 2025-05-06 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for March 17

US stock indexes, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, ended the week confidently in positive territory. This was largely due to encouraging developments in trade talks with China and resilient

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:32 2025-05-05 UTC+2

Europe on pause: What's behind the stock market plunge and Trump's unexpected activity

European stocks fell slightly; STOXX 600 - minus 0.1%, France - minus 0.3% Investors await data on US-China talks, earnings and Fed decision Trump: 100% tariffs on foreign films, Alcatraz

Thomas Frank 11:34 2025-05-05 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 2

US equity indices continue to climb despite lingering economic uncertainty. Investor optimism is being driven by expectations of progress in trade talks between the US and China. Nevertheless, ongoing economic

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:14 2025-05-02 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.