empty
01.02.2023 03:04 PM
What will happen to the world's economies?

This image is no longer relevant

In its economic outlook update on Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund said it forecasts global economic growth of 2.9% this year and a recovery to 3.1% in 2024. Although growth is expected to be below trend, economists do not see a recession on the horizon.

IMF Chief Economist Pierre Olivier Gourinchas said economic growth was surprisingly resilient in the third quarter of last year, thanks to strong labor markets, business investment, and excellent adjustment to Europe's energy crisis. Inflation has also shown improvement, and overall numbers are now declining in most countries, even if core inflation, which rules out more volatile energy and food prices, has yet to peak in many countries.

With inflationary pressures easing, China's reopening and a weaker U.S. dollar are easing the situation for emerging markets and developed countries.

An updated IMF forecast says emerging markets are projected to outperform developed economies. Analysts note that 9 out of 10 advanced economies are likely to slow down next year.

The U.S. economy is also expected to grow at a slower rate of 1.4% and by 1% in 2024 as the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy continues to weigh on the economy.

This image is no longer relevant

Europe, meanwhile, is projected to grow 0.7% this year and to 1.6% next year. The IMF said that the European Central Bank is just beginning a tightening cycle and the region's dependence on energy imports is creating problems for economic activity.

This image is no longer relevant

The IMF is more bullish on China as the government reopens its economy and lifts restrictive policies. Economists predict that China will grow by 5.2% this year and slow down by 4.5% in 2024.

Despite optimistic forecasts, economists warn that there are ongoing risks. Persistently high inflation, forcing central banks to continue aggressively raising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, threatening global stability and destabilizing food and energy markets, pose risks to their outlook.

"This time around, the global economic outlook hasn't worsened. That's good news, but not enough," Gourinchas said.

Irina Yanina,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

USD/JPY. Análise e previsão

O Banco do Japão (BoJ) sinalizou uma postura mais cautelosa em relação à reversão de sua política de afrouxamento monetário, que já dura uma década, atribuindo essa abordagem à incerteza

Irina Yanina 20:14 2025-06-18 UTC+2

NZD/USD. Análise e previsão

O par NZD/USD está tentando atrair compradores durante a queda, mantendo-se acima do nível-chave de 0,6000, revertendo a correção recente a partir da máxima do ano e permanecendo dentro

Irina Yanina 20:05 2025-06-18 UTC+2

Trump continua pressionando a Reserva Federal

Donald Trump está reformulando seu apelo de meses para que o Federal Reserve reduza as taxas de juros, argumentando agora que tal ação é crucial para reduzir o custo

Jakub Novak 17:23 2025-06-18 UTC+2

O BCE deve considerar o euro forte e os preços elevados do petróleo

De acordo com o membro do Conselho do BCE, François Villeroy de Galhau, o Banco Central Europeu precisa avaliar as flutuações nos preços do petróleo e do euro ao definir

Jakub Novak 17:22 2025-06-18 UTC+2

Iene não consegue chegar a um acordo

Os investidores não estão com pressa para comprar o iene japonês. A escalada do conflito armado no Oriente Médio não ajudou os vendedores do par USD/JPY. O temor

Marek Petkovich 14:03 2025-06-18 UTC+2

NZD/USD. Análise e previsão

Atualmente, o par NZD/USD está apresentando uma atividade moderada e atraindo compradores. No entanto, uma forte continuação do movimento de alta ainda não se concretizou, já que o mercado permanece

Irina Yanina 20:52 2025-06-17 UTC+2

GBP/USD. Análise e previsão

O par GBP/USD mantém-se firmemente acima do nível psicológico-chave de 1,3500, à espera da divulgação do Índice de Preços ao Consumidor (CPI) do Reino Unido e das próximas reuniões

Irina Yanina 20:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Visão Geral do GBP/USD – 17 de Junho: Reuniões do Fed e do BoE como motivo para vender o dólar

Na segunda-feira, o par GBP/USD também apresentou um comportamento relativamente estável, mas com viés de alta. A libra esterlina não atinge novas máximas de três anos todos os dias —

Paolo Greco 20:24 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Crise no Oriente Médio como um prelúdio para uma guerra global... (Possibilidade de queda limitada para o Bitcoin e o EUR/USD)

O impasse sobre os mísseis entre Israel, representante dos EUA, e o Irã continua. A saída inesperada do presidente dos EUA ontem da cúpula do G7 no Canadá gerou especulações

Pati Gani 17:45 2025-06-17 UTC+2

O mercado pode estar caindo na mesma armadilha novamente

A história parece se repetir. Às vésperas do Dia da Independência dos Estados Unidos, muitos participantes do mercado afirmavam que as ameaças de Donald Trump eram mais barulhentas

Marek Petkovich 17:09 2025-06-17 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.