empty
14.03.2025 01:04 PM
Donald Trump Is Just Getting Started

This image is no longer relevant

The 24-hour chart wave structure for #SPX appears relatively clear. The first key observation is the global five-wave structure, which is so extensive that it doesn't even fit into the terminal window at the smallest scale. In simple terms, U.S. stock indices have been rising for a very long time. However, we know that trends alternate. At this point, wave 5 within wave 5 appears to have completed. The index made four unsuccessful attempts to break the 6093 level, which corresponds to 200.0% Fibonacci from wave 4. In my view, we are likely to see a corrective wave sequence soon. The U.S. stock market is overheated, and more analysts are starting to discuss the possibility of a bubble.

Switching to the 4-hour chart, we can observe a completed complex corrective structure (a-b-c-d-e) and an upward structure resembling an a-b-c pattern. This suggests that a new downward wave has begun forming, with its first wave strongly resembling an impulse. Based on this, I expect an upward wave 2 or b, followed by a renewed decline. At the moment, I would lean on the daily chart's wave structure, which points to a prolonged S&P 500 downturn.

The #SPX index continues to decline, now resembling a Bitcoin-style crash. But is that surprising? The U.S. dollar is also in freefall, and Bitcoin is barely holding on to avoid sinking even lower. The reason behind the chaos in the markets is clear—and it's singular: Donald Trump.

Trump's tariffs could trigger a recession in the U.S. economy, but the U.S. president has no interest in what happens to the stock market. His objectives lie elsewhere—primarily expansionist and protectionist policies. Trump wants to bring manufacturing back to America, secure better trade deals with every country, acquire Greenland, control the Panama Canal, end the war in Ukraine, and weaken China's global standing. The list goes on—but this is Trump's agenda, not America's. Has anyone in the U.S. ever previously advocated for reclaiming the Panama Canal?

Given all of this, Trump is indifferent to how much the economy slows or how much stock indices collapse. Investors recognize this and are redirecting capital into safe-haven assets or economies that are not actively destabilizing their own markets. For this reason, I believe that S&P 500's decline will continue.

This image is no longer relevant

Key Takeaways

Based on my analysis of #SPX, I conclude that the index has completed its upward trend segment. I recommend focusing on the 6125 level and Trump's policies. Trump is implementing measures that threaten the stability of the U.S. economy and corporations (trade wars, tariffs, and import duties), increasing the likelihood of a new bearish trend. The U.S. stock market bubble is stretched to its limit.

The 4-hour chart suggests one more upward wave before a renewed decline, while the 24-hour chart indicates the formation of a longer-term downtrend.

On a higher timeframe, the wave structure becomes even clearer—a distinct five-wave formation, with a five-wave sequence within the fifth wave. This final fifth wave may be nearing completion, implying that traders should prepare for a long and complex correction, which may have already begun.

Core Principles of My Analysis:

  1. Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex formations are difficult to trade and often subject to revisions.
  2. If there is uncertainty about the market's direction, it is better to stay out.
  3. There is never 100% certainty in price movement. Always use Stop Loss orders for risk management.
  4. Wave analysis can be combined with other methods of technical analysis and trading strategies.
Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

El mercado de valores el 14 de marzo: los índices SP500 y NASDAQ continúan cayendo

Los futuros del índice de acciones S&P 500 y NASDAQ continuaron su fuerte descenso y volvieron al desarrollo de un escenario bajista. Las acciones asiáticas, así como los futuros

Jakub Novak 10:16 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Mercado de EE.UU. NASDAQ y S&P 500 en territorio de corrección: 10% por debajo de sus máximos.

S&P500 Análisis del 14 de marzo Mercado de EE.UU.: Corrección profunda. Principales índices de EE.UU. el jueves : : Dow -1.3%, NASDAQ -2%, S&P 500 -1.4%, S&P500 5521, rango 5400

Jozef Kovach 10:15 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Google, la Reserva Federal, Salesforce y los mercados de divisas: eventos que no se pueden ignorar

Los mercados modernos no se detienen: las nuevas tecnologías, los datos macroeconómicos y las decisiones políticas pueden cambiar instantáneamente el equilibrio de poder en la economía global. En este artículo

Natalia Andreeva 11:14 2025-03-13 UTC+2

S&P 500 se acerca a un punto de reversión. ¿Riesgo o oportunidad?

El mercado de valores estadounidense sigue mostrando una alta volatilidad, pero los inversores comienzan a buscar puntos de entrada después de la reciente caída. El enfoque está en la dinámica

Anna Zotova 11:14 2025-03-13 UTC+2

El mercado bursátil el 13 de marzo: el crecimiento de los índices S&P 500 y NASDAQ no duró mucho

Los futuros de los índices S&P 500 y NASDAQ volvieron a caer después de la publicación de los datos de inflación en EE. UU. de ayer, que, sorprendentemente, indicaron

Jakub Novak 07:55 2025-03-13 UTC+2

El mercado de valores el 12 de marzo: los índices SP500 y NASDAQ alcanzaron un nuevo mínimo

Los futuros del índice S&P 500 subieron un 0,2% después de perder un 0,76% al cierre de la jornada anterior, mientras que los contratos de futuros del Nasdaq 100 aumentaron

Jakub Novak 08:18 2025-03-12 UTC+2

El mercado de valores el 11 de marzo: los índices SP500 y NASDAQ cayeron más del 5,0%

La venta masiva de acciones continuó ayer, pero ya se desaceleró hoy durante la sesión asiática, lo que llevó a una recuperación de los futuros de los índices bursátiles estadounidenses

Jakub Novak 08:13 2025-03-11 UTC+2

El mercado de valores el 7 de marzo: los índices SP500 y NASDAQ volvieron a caer

Ayer, los índices bursátiles estadounidenses reanudaron su caída, alcanzando nuevos mínimos semanales. El índice S&P500 perdió un 1,78%, mientras que el tecnológico NASDAQ cayó un 2,61%. Las acciones asiáticas también

Jakub Novak 07:58 2025-03-07 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.