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17.04.2025 11:07
EUR/USD 2025-yil 17-aprel uchun prognoz

Chorshanba kuni, yevro yana 1.1385–1.1420 maqsadli diapazoniga qaytdi. Biroq, so'nggi narx harakatlari 1.1385 darajasining endi ahamiyatsiz ekanligini sug'dirmoqda — biz 1.1276 va 1.1420 oralig'ida konsolidatsiya diapazonini ko'ryapmiz. Yevro ushbu diapazonda bugungi ECB yig'ilishi natijalarini kutadi. Iqtisodchilar stavka 2.65% dan 2.40% ga pasayishini kutmoqdalar. So'nggi kunlarda, bozor ishtirokchilari o'zlarining "dovish" taxminlarini oshirib, hatto 2.15% (-0.50%) ga yoki ozgina yuqoriga — taxminan 2.25–2.30% oralig'ida pasayishni ham imkoniyat sifatida ko'rmoqdalar.

Umuman olganda, biz 1.1276 darajasidagi qo'llab-quvvatlashdan pastga tushishini va 1.1110/50 diapazoni tomon harakatlanishini kutmoqdamiz. Ushbu zonadan pastga tushish 1.0955 darajadagi maqsadli darajaga — 18-martdagi eng yuqori nuqtaga yo'l ochadi. Marlin osilator allaqachon salbiy hududga o'tdi va narxni pastga tortishga tayyor.

H4 jadvalida, narx yana 1.1385 diapazonining pastki chegarasidan pastga joylashdi. 1.1276 darajasidagi qo'llab-quvvatlash endi ko'rinib turibdi. ECB qaroridan so'ng, MACD chizig'i (1.1230) ham buzilishi mumkin. Alternativ senariy faqat narx 1.1535 darajadan yuqorida mustahkamlanganda mumkin bo'ladi.

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